They quit their day jobs to bet on current events: A look inside the prediction market

By Bobby Allyn

Published January 21, 2026 at 5:22 PM EST

Prediction market apps are thriving in President Trump's second term, with traders betting on everything from migrant deportations to election outcomes. A look at what's driving the industry's boom.

Bobby Allyn

Bobby Allyn is a business reporter at NPR based in San Francisco. He covers technology and how Silicon Valley's largest companies are transforming how we live and reshaping society.

See stories by Bobby Allyn

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